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Where next for monetary policy? 04/07/2017

Financial markets were unsettled towards the end of June by speculation that leading central banks might be poised to end their ultra-loose monetary policy. Following the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) third interest rate increase in six months, investors reacted strongly to European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi’s view that deflationary ... Read more...

Hung Parliament fuels political uncertainties 04/07/2017

UK equity markets fell during June as investors swallowed an indigestible mix of political, corporate and macroeconomic news. Over the month as a whole, the blue-chip FTSE 100 Index fell by 2.8% while the FTSE 250 Index dropped by 3.2%. Several UK retailers issued profit warnings during June... Read more...

Reflationary forces at work in Europe 04/07/2017

Reflationary influences have replaced deflationary forces in the eurozone, according to European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi. He believes that current inflationary weakness is temporary and that the ECB’s monetary policy is working. Nevertheless, he thinks that a “prudent” level of support from the central bank should remain until inf... Read more...

Global bond yields surged in June 04/07/2017

The global bond market came under pressure towards the end of June. Bond yields surged and prices fell, undermined by rising speculation that central banks might start to tighten monetary policy. In particular, recent statements from the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) have fuelled expectations that borrowing costs might s... Read more...

Brazil moves out of recession 04/07/2017

Having remained in recession for two years, Brazil’s economy finally moved out of recession during the first quarter of 2017, posting quarterly growth of 1%. Nevertheless, the outlook for Brazil’s economy remains unclear; unemployment remains a headache for ministers and policymakers, and the government has become embroiled in allegations of fresh ... Read more...

Fed tightens rates again 04/07/2017

In a widely anticipated move, the Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its key interest rate for the third time in six months during June, taking the federal funds rate to a range of 1% to 1.25% and their highest level since 2008. The Fed also intends to begin cutting back its balance sheet this year. The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC’s) decision w... Read more...

Japan's inflation remains well below target 04/07/2017

Japan’s economy expanded more slowly than expected over the first three months of 2017: the country’s economy posted annualised growth of only 1%. Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymakers maintained their monetary policy during June. Despite signs that the country’s economy is continuing to improve – albeit at a moderate pace – underpinned by a strengtheni... Read more...

Central bank hawks start to circle 04/07/2017

Gilt yields rose strongly during June amid mounting speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might tighten monetary policy.  Over June as a whole, the ten-year gilt yield rose from 1.13% to 1.33%, while the yield on the short-dated gilt rose from 0.13% to 0.37%. The pound rallied above US$1.30 against the US dollar during the month, boosted by th... Read more...

UK markets fall in June 04/07/2017

UK equity markets fell during June, undermined by renewed political uncertainties. The snap General Election culminated in a hung Parliament that raised fresh questions about the UK’s Brexit prospects. Over June, the FTSE 100 Index fell by 2.8% while the FTSE 250 Index declined by 3.2%. Read more...

Brexit: one year on 26/06/2017

The controversial Brexit vote took place on 23 June 2016. One year on from the historical referendum, what has changed? Read more...

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