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Market briefings looking back at June

The articles have been written by our expert investment writers and cover the markets looking back through June.

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Rising demand for “safe havens”

Demand for investments perceived to be “safe havens” – such as US Treasury Bonds, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc – was boosted during the month by concerns over the impact of trade wars initiated by the US.

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“Losers on both sides”?

Trade dominated newsflow and sentiment in the US during June. Investors endured a lacklustre month as financial markets reacted to the latest moves from the US Government and its key trading partners. Following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the EU, Canada and Mexico, and a range of imports from China, retaliatory levies were announced by all four parties.  

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“Cards on the table”

UK equity markets were blighted during June by Brexit, amid rising concerns over the UK’s lack of progress as the deadline moves closer. EC President Donald Tusk called on the UK to “lay (its) cards on the table”. Elsewhere, the US’s increasingly aggressive trade policy continued to generate an unfavourable response from key trading partners.

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Brexit continues to cast a shadow

Although escalating trade tensions dominated global investor sentiment in June, the UK also had to contend with Brexit-related issues against a backdrop of criticism over the Government’s lack of progress. During June, the FTSE 100 Index declined by 0.5%, while the FTSE 250 Index fell by 0.1%, and equity yields continued to outstrip yields on other asset classes. 

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UK rates to rise in August?

June proved to be another uneven month for UK government bonds. Investor sentiment was at the mercy of macroeconomic factors, from US President Donald Trump’s introduction of punitive trade tariffs and concerns over the political situation in Italy and Germany, to the unresolved issue of Brexit and rising speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) is poised to increase base rate. 

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ECB unlikely to raise rates before summer 2019

Although the eurozone’s rate of inflation has moved closer to target, the ECB does not expect to tighten interest rates until “at least through the summer of 2019”.

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Sino-US relations continue to sour

June proved to be a challenging month for emerging market investors as trade tensions between the US and China continued to escalate.

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Trade wars cloud the outlook for exporters

Escalating trade wars between the US and some of the world’s largest economies have raised fears that new trade tariffs could undermine the economies of major exporting nations in Asia. 

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The US: how long can the party last?

The US market has been labelled over-valued, over-concentrated and over-indebted, but still it continues to rise. What might disrupt its trajectory?

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