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From the category archives: Adviser Hub News

What does Single’s Day tell us about emerging markets?

As well as some eye-popping numbers, Single’s Day in China helped bust some pervasive myths around emerging market investment.

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Philip Hammond is in an unenviable position as he delivers his latest Budget

Philip Hammond is in an unenviable position as he delivers his second Budget as Chancellor on 22 November. He needs to pull a rabbit out of a hat, but it's proving very difficult to catch.

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Market briefings looking back at October

These articles have been written by our expert investment writers and cover the markets looking back through October.

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US indices reach fresh highs

Strong corporate earnings announcements from leading American technology firms helped to drive US equity indices higher during October. US Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers maintained the key federal funds rate, but appear to be preparing for further monetary tightening, despite ongoing concerns over the US’s anaemic inflationary backdrop.

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Slow progress in Brexit negotiations

The FTSE 100 Index hit a new all-time high in October, reaching 7,556.24 points during the month. However, the spike was caused primarily by wider enthusiasm towards global economic developments than by confidence in domestic factors. Progress in Brexit negotiations remained glacial, undermining sentiment towards the UK.

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Profit warnings rise in Q3

UK equity indices generally rose over October; however, this was driven more by rising optimism about global prospects than by confidence about the UK’s economic outlook. The number of profit warnings issued by UK quoted companies during the third quarter of 2017 rose at an annualised rate of 10%, according to EY. An increase in the number of companies issuing multiple profit warnings reflects some firms’ inability to adapt to changing conditions.

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Higher interest rates beckon for the UK

Stronger-than-expected economic growth data fuelled expectations of an imminent increase in UK interest rates, creating some short-term volatility in gilt yields. Consumer price inflation reached 3% YoY, and the Bank of England subsequently raised base rate to 0.5% in early November.

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Politics dominate in October

Politics grabbed the spotlight during October, and global investor sentiment was affected by mounting political crisis in Spain, General Elections in Japan and Austria, and continuing developments – and controversy – in the Brexit process. Several key indices – including the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, the Nasdaq Index, and the FTSE 100 Index, reached new highs during the month.

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Central banks’ policy continues to shift

A widespread shift in central banks' monetary policy is helping to reduce the attractions of bonds. During October, the ECB announced that it would extend its bond-buying programme until at least September 2018, but will halve the rate of its asset purchases from €60 billion per month to €30 billion. Elsewhere, the Fed began unwinding its US$4.5 trillion balance sheet.

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Spain’s political crisis continued

Although European investors welcomed further evidence of a strengthening economy during October, sentiment was dampened by mounting political turmoil in Spain and wider concerns surrounding Brexit. The ECB confirmed that it would extend its programme of asset purchases until September 2018 at the earliest, but will halve the rate of its purchases from €60 billion per month to €30 billion.

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